Ginters Bušs

The Return of Inflation: Look-Through Policy Under Incomplete Information

with G. Traficante

Working papers 2025/02, Latvijas Banka


Challenges for Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interactions in the Post-Pandemic Era

with D. Bonam, M. Ciccarelli, S. Gomes, P. Aldama, K. Bańkowski, J. C. da Costa, K. Christoffel, M. E. Schmöller, P. Jacquinot, I. Kataryniuk, M. Marx, K. Mavromatis, S. Moyen, I. Mužić, A. Notarpietro, D. Papageorgiou, A. Rannenberg, I. Skotida, O. Bouabdallah, M. Dobrew, S. Hauptmeier, F. Holm-Hadulla, M. Brzoza-Brzezina, S. Hurtado, M. Kolasa, V. Patella, T. Renault, R. Domínguez-Díaz, W. Lechthaler, N. McClung, T. Šestořád, E. Silgado-Gómez, M. Železník, L. von Thadden, C. Menéndez-Álvarez

Occasional Paper Series 337, European Central Bank, 2024 February


Choosing the European Fiscal Rule

with P. Grüning and O. Tkačevs

Baltic Journal of Economics, 24(1), pp. 116–144, 2024.  (open access)

https://doi.org/10.1080/1406099X.2024.2340402

Online Appendix

Working paper version:

Choosing the European Fiscal Rule

Working papers 2021/03, Latvijas Banka


Fiscal DSGE Model for Latvia

with P. Grüning 

Baltic Journal of Economics, 23(1), pp. 1–44, 2023. (open access)

http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/1406099X.2023.2173915

Online Appendix

Working paper versions:

Fiscal DSGE Model for Latvia

Working papers 2020/05, Latvijas Banka 

also as

Fiscal DSGE Model for Latvia 

Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 81, Bank of Lithuania 


Business Investment in EU Countries

with M. Bańbura, M. Albani, G. Ambrocio, D. Bursian, J. de Winter, M. Gavura, C. Giordano, P. Júlio, J. Le Roux, M. Lozej, S. Malthe-Thagaard, J. R. Maria, C. M. Carrascal, P. Meinen, N. Michail, D. Papageorgiou, S. Pool, R. Ravnik, L. S. J. del Peso, M. Tóth, G. Zevi

Occasional Paper Series No 215, European Central Bank, 2018 October


Real and Financial Cycles in EU Countries: Stylised Facts and Modelling Implications

with G. Rünstler, H. Balfoussia, L. Burlon, M. Comunale B. De Backer, H. Dewachter, P. Guarda, M. Haavio, I. Hindrayanto, N. I. Iskrev,  I. Jaccard, D. Kulikov, D. Kunovac, M. Lequien, M. Lozej, M. Mandler, D. Papageorgiou, J. Pedersen, G. Perez-Quiros, A. Rannenberg, E. Rots, M. Scharnagl, P. Welz, Č. Lenarčič

Occasional Paper Series No 205, European Central Bank, 2018 January


Wage Formation, Unemployment and Business Cycle in Latvia

Working Papers 2017/01, Latvijas Banka

LaTeX version


Low Inflation in the Euro Area: Causes and Consequences

with Ciccarelli, M. and C. Osbat (eds.) and numerous contributors

Occasional Paper Series No 181, European Central Bank, 2017 January


Labour Market Modelling in the Light of the Financial Crisis 

with P. Lafourcade, A. Gerali, J. Brůha, D. Bursian, V. Corbo, M. Haavio, C. Håkanson, T. Hledik, G. Katay, D. Kulikov, M. Lozej, J. R. Maria, B. Micallef, D. Papageorgiou, J. Vanhala and M. Zeleznik

Occasional Paper Series No 175, European Central Bank, 2016 August


Search-and-Matching Frictions and Labor Market Dynamics in Latvia

Working Papers 2015/04, Latvijas Banka

Matlab/Dynare replication codes (link to 7z archive at Latvijas Banka web site)


Financial Frictions in Latvia

Empirical Economics, Vol. 51(2), pp. 547-575, September 2016

http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00181-015-1014-z

Online Appendix

Matlab/Dynare replication codes (link to 7z archive at Latvijas Banka web site)


Real-Time Signal Extraction with Regularized Multivariate Direct Filter Approach

Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 35(3), pp. 206-216, April 2016

http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/for.2352

This version: April 8, 2014

Older extended version

Matlab code (7z file)


Tracking Economic Activity in the Euro Area: Multivariate Direct Filter Approach

OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2014(2), pp. 1-20

http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2014-5js0bcts1433

Working paper version

Matlab code (7z file)


Asymmetric Baxter-King Filter

Published as "Preliminary results on asymmetric Baxter-King filter" in Aplimat: Journal of Applied Mathematics, vol. 4 (2011), number 3, pp. 239-248

Matlab code (m file)


Seasonal Decomposition with a Modified Hodrick-Prescott Filter

MPRA Paper 24133, University Library of Munich, Germany, 2010

Matlab code (7z file)